Building Blocks of Futures

See what you learned

Use the definitions to classify the following statements as a driver of change, trend, weak signal or wild card.

Let's recap

Weak SignalA new novel, or early indication of future change

Scanning for ChangeHorizon scanning systematically explores a wide range of sources to map the underlying issues, drivers, trends, weak signals, and even wild cards.

TrendA measure that has been steadily changing

Driver of ChangeA significant dynamic of change from which different trends can emerge

Wild CardUnexpected or high impact events that have lower probability

The rate of improvement in agriculture yields has slowed to about 1% per year since 1990, despite improved efficiency.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Question 1/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Wild Card

Question 2/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Every year 10,000 species become extinct amounting to 1 million animal and plant species within decades.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 3/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Urbanization reshapes the global demographic.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 4/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

A rising leader suffers an unexpected death due to natural causes at young age.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 5/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Handheld devices are optimised exclusively for communication and extended battery life, using black-and-white electronic paper screens, cutting down all unnecessary capabilities.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 6/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

An asteroid strikes down in the Pacific Ocean causing a major Tsunami.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 7/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

An estimated 300,000 thousand new pieces of malware are created daily, with email as the preferred medium for 91% of all cyber attacks.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 8/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Climate change has multiple, unavoidable consequences.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

1/8

1 correct

2/8

2 correct

3/8

3 correct

4/8

4 correct

0/8

0 correct

5/8

5 correct

Results

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Congratulations!

6/8

6 correct

7/8

7 correct

8/8

8 correct

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